Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#263
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#277
Pace65.8#215
Improvement+3.0#67

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#217
Improvement+3.4#37

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#288
Improvement-0.5#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 172   @ Cal Poly L 52-79 20%     0 - 1 -23.9 -20.5 -3.5
  Nov 14, 2011 241   UC Irvine W 51-50 58%     1 - 1 -7.0 -27.9 +20.9
  Nov 16, 2011 137   @ San Francisco L 81-83 OT 14%     1 - 2 +3.7 +2.3 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2011 289   @ Santa Clara L 58-84 43%     1 - 3 -30.2 -19.2 -11.6
  Nov 28, 2011 292   Montana St. L 70-77 70%     1 - 4 -18.4 -1.3 -17.8
  Nov 30, 2011 171   Texas San Antonio W 72-66 41%     2 - 4 +2.3 -8.2 +10.1
  Dec 03, 2011 123   @ Weber St. L 89-91 2OT 12%     2 - 5 +4.5 +0.5 +4.3
  Dec 07, 2011 34   @ California L 36-81 4%     2 - 6 -30.9 -30.5 +0.0
  Dec 10, 2011 172   Cal Poly L 40-47 41%     2 - 7 -10.7 -26.2 +13.8
  Dec 20, 2011 322   UC Davis W 79-59 82%     3 - 7 +4.3 +3.5 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2011 268   @ UC Riverside L 64-66 38%     3 - 8 -4.8 +1.2 -6.2
  Dec 29, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 81-66 53%     4 - 8 +8.1 +3.4 +5.6
  Dec 30, 2011 223   @ Seattle W 84-74 28%     5 - 8 +10.1 +0.8 +8.0
  Jan 07, 2012 210   @ Hawaii L 69-82 25%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -12.0 -6.6 -5.1
  Jan 12, 2012 100   @ Nevada L 57-81 10%     5 - 10 0 - 2 -15.7 -6.3 -11.6
  Jan 14, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. L 73-82 20%     5 - 11 0 - 3 -6.3 +3.7 -10.2
  Jan 19, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 63-79 15%     5 - 12 0 - 4 -10.9 -7.6 -3.3
  Jan 21, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech L 67-71 45%     5 - 13 0 - 5 -8.7 -7.9 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2012 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-70 60%     6 - 13 -0.7 +6.2 -6.1
  Jan 26, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 66-74 16%     6 - 14 0 - 6 -3.3 +4.2 -8.8
  Jan 28, 2012 133   @ Utah St. L 65-82 14%     6 - 15 0 - 7 -11.2 +1.9 -15.5
  Feb 04, 2012 210   Hawaii L 81-83 OT 49%     6 - 16 0 - 8 -7.8 -7.7 +0.2
  Feb 09, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 79-71 2OT 43%     7 - 16 1 - 8 +3.9 +0.6 +2.9
  Feb 11, 2012 100   Nevada L 70-76 24%     7 - 17 1 - 9 -4.6 +7.7 -13.1
  Feb 18, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. W 79-67 45%     8 - 17 +7.4 +5.7 +2.1
  Feb 23, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 49-75 22%     8 - 18 1 - 10 -23.9 -21.7 -2.8
  Feb 25, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. L 68-79 6%     8 - 19 1 - 11 +0.9 +1.3 -0.5
  Mar 01, 2012 133   Utah St. L 61-71 32%     8 - 20 1 - 12 -11.0 -4.7 -7.9
  Mar 03, 2012 150   Idaho L 64-70 35%     8 - 21 1 - 13 -8.1 -4.9 -3.8
  Mar 08, 2012 100   Nevada L 44-54 16%     8 - 22 -5.2 -21.0 +14.6
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 1.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13 100.0% 100.0
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%